Disappointing UK economic data and poor German industrial production numbers pressured both GBP and EURO through the European session knocking both pairs into lows ahead of New York. Cable traded to a low print at 1.9666 as stops fired off under the 1.9700 handle again; traders note that the GBP appears to be trading in a very large triangle/wedge pattern suggesting a lot of potential two-way action over several handles may result.
Now that we are in the “summer doldrums” it is possible that the technical picture will remain more viable for short-term traders and it is my view that the GBP will cover a lot of the same ground twice. EURO sold off briefly into stops under the 1.5700 handle for a low print at 1.5610 before solid bids were seen. Traders report that model accounts were on the offer with large orders at the 1.5630/40 area; also of note the 50 bar MA comes in today at 1.5582 which may offer support on further weakness.
EURO has a strong exponential sell signal from Thursday last week and the rate is likely going to correct into solid support a bit further down in my view. Good quality buys may be seen in the next 24-48 hours. USD/JPY rallied to our limit entry point overnight and aggressive traders should be short at the 107.50 area; high prints so far overnight 107.72 in line with the 200 bar MA.
